Crowdsourcing Predictions

Thursday, March 10, 2011
6:00 PM
Free and open to the public

I will describe and compare various methods obtaining predictions ranging from asking an expert to leveraging the wisdom of crowds. I will focus mainly on prediction markets, a particularly effective crowdsourcing method. I will discuss combinatorial prediction markets, or markets designed to extract exponentially many predictions with a fixed budget.

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David Pennock

Principal Research Scientist
Yahoo! Research